Ken Pomeroy on WCC Chase in Men's Basketball Forum

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Ken Pomeroy on WCC Chase

Author	Comment
GallopingGael67	Ken Pomeroy on WCC Chase	Lead	[-]
Posts: 1990 Jan 20 12 10:34 AM Moraga Faithful Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	Tags : None "St. Mary’s is now the favorite to win the regular season, having won both of the games involving Top 3 teams to this point. The fact that both games were on the Gaels’ home floor devalues those wins somewhat, but not completely. The home team has about a 60-65% chance to win games against an evenly-skilled opponent and the Gaels’ have turned that uncertainty into 100% by virtue of their wins. They need only split road games against BYU and Gonzaga to win the six-game tournament and give them a great shot at the regular season title." http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/the_six-game_tournament/ (His "six game tournament" assumed the big three wouldn't lose to the bottom six - proven wrong the day after his post.)

sideshow06		#1	[-]
Posts: 1160 Jan 20 12 10:42 AM Gael Fan Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	Well, actually he's kind of proven RIGHT, since he says that there is an 88% chance one of the Top 3 suffers a loss to a Bottom 6 team. Statistically, with BYU taking that hit, that ups our chances of NOT suffering an upset, right?
rafaelalanpotluck		#2	[-]
Posts: 989 Jan 20 12 2:12 PM Moraga Faithful Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	Of course, a healthy LMU is a "bottom six" team statistically, but in reality they're as talented the so-called Big Three.
UnshavenYak		#3	[-]
Posts: 446 Jan 20 12 3:16 PM Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	We play 6 of the last 9 on the road (7 of 10 if you count the busters game). We may have the advantage right now but lets see how we react to the road. So far the road hasn't exactly been our strong point. We have played 4 road games, @ Denver, @ Cal Poly, @ Pepp and @ SDU. I'm sure that we all agree 3 of those game were shall we say... less than inspiring. Just trying to temper the enthusiasm a bit. Trying to mentally prepare myself in case we have a re-do of last year.

RiordanGael		#4	[-]
Posts: 978 Jan 20 12 5:15 PM Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	UnshavenYak wrote: Just trying to temper the enthusiasm a bit. Trying to mentally prepare myself in case we have a re-do of last year. I have to tease you Yak, but I always wanted to share a conversation my grandmother had with me...with her Pall Mall rattleing voice coming from her 4ft. 6 inch frame. Grandma: "Boy, if you keep lookin back over shoulder you going to walk into that darn wall" My response: Wat Grandma "thu...$&@<^#$#@!!!!!!!" Grandma: "See wat I told ya"
UnshavenYak		#5	[-]
Posts: 446 Jan 20 12 6:00 PM Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	@Riordan, well said. And point taken. Live through the windshield rather than the rear view mirror.
Dirt McGirt		#6	[-]
Posts: 1337 Jan 20 12 8:03 PM Reply Quote More My Recent Posts	My grandma used to always say (loose translation from italian) "the mother of idiots is always pregnant." I bet we see lots of pregnant women tomorrow night.

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